Still looming: How many will lose free agency in 2010? Andrew Brandt
Today marks an important day in the business of the NFL, made even more important by the events surrounding it. Let me explain.
Monday after Week 10
The Monday following the 10th week of the NFL season is the deadline for extensions with players that charge money to a team’s 2009 cap without proration into future years. Teams can still extend player contracts through the final Saturday of the regular season, however, those extensions will treat any additional 2009 signing bonus monies as prorated through the length of the contract.
APPackers WR Donald Driver completed a Week 10 deal in the past.
For example, in the event a team wants to give a player $10 million in bonus money to extend his expiring contract four more years, it can – if it wishes – have that entire $10M contained in 2009 rather than prorated out and added to future year cap charges. It can do that only if a contract is completed and submitted by 4 p.m. EST today. A team, however, can continue to add Paragraph 5 amounts (salary) through the rest of the season and have it count only in 2009.
Were that same deal submitted after today, the $10M would be prorated over the five years of the deal, with only $2M of the bonus counting in 2009 and an additional $2M counting in each of the next four years. In any other year besides this one, were that same deal submitted after today, the $10 million would be prorated over the five years of the deal, with only $2 million of the bonus counting in each of the next four years. However, with the uncapped year looming next year, all extensions adding salary to this year will be treated as 2009 Cap charges, rather than being prorated.
Thus, a team with $15M of cap room remaining for 2009 can soak up most of that available room – which is use it or lose it – by consummating a deal such as the one above. In my time with the Packers, we completed these Week 10 deals with players such as Donald Driver, Nick Barnett, Mark Tauscher, Scott Wells and Donald Lee over the years. This is especially valuable for teams that are sitting on large amounts of cap room – Green Bay, Cleveland, Tampa Bay, etc.
Use it or lose it
The use of cap room by NFL teams is more important than ever, both for today and the next seven weeks. With each passing day toward March, the likelihood of a new Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA) and continued operation of the salary cap lessens. So NFL teams have to prepare as if there will be no cap in 2010.
The prospect of no cap means there are no allowable transfers of 2009 available cap room to 2010. In a typical year, teams with tens of millions of dollars of existing cap room would typically use maneuvers to bring forward cap room into the subsequent year.
For example, entering the 2009 league year, although the designated salary cap for NFL teams was $123 million, there were teams approaching $150M as their adjusted cap figure – their cap room after the addition of the rolled-over room from 2009. This is a technique that allowed teams such as Tampa Bay, Philadelphia, Kansas City, Green Bay and others to enter the 2009 league year with close to or over $40M of available cap room (Tampa Bay had close to $50M).
APCraig Nall was once given a creative incentive in his contract.
The silly incentive trick
The cap rollover exercise is typically achieved by renegotiating an expiring player contract by adding an LTBE (likely to be earned) incentive that has no way of being earned yet will serve the purpose of eating up cap room in the present that will be credited in the future.
For example, for several years in Green Bay, I would negotiate with our third-string quarterback the week of the last game that if he completed seven touchdown passes and blocked five punts, he would receive a $5M bonus. The insertion of the incentive would eat up the team’s cap room and end up as a credit toward the following year’s adjusted cap. I negotiated that deal one year with our third-string quarterback, Craig Nall, prior to a game against the Bears which turned out to be meaningless. Nall came in in the second half and threw two touchdown passes. If he threw a third and fourth, I was going to go down to the sideline and pull him out of the game myself!
That tactic is not available this year. Because this is the YBTUY (year before the uncapped year), the rules prevent any phony incentive rollover maneuvers. The rules also prevent any dumping of cap room at all into 2010 since with no cap to account for, there are no defined accounting procedures at all for 2010.
Will anything happen?
So the question becomes: Will there be any or many extensions today? The answer is likely few, if any. With so much uncertainty, not only about whether there will be a cap, the bigger question is who will be a free agent in 2010. Without a cap, six rather than four years of service will be required to reach that status, robbing some 230 players of the free agency they had been looking forward to.
With the increasing likelihood that these 230 players will be restricted, rather than unrestricted free agents in 2010, teams will likely be more cautious in their efforts to extend players today and through the rest of the season.
Lock-In to a CBA?
NFLPA executive director DeMaurice Smith
With these 230 players facing so much uncertainty and the possibility that teams will roll back spending without a cap-spending minimum in 2010, there becomes increasing pressure on new NFL Players Association executive director DeMaurice Smith to work out a deal with the league.
Not that Smith isn’t trying. He has suggested a “lock-in” in January or February if there’s no deal, locking his negotiating team in a room with the NFL for as long as it takes to get a deal done. That request has been met with deafening silence from the NFL.
Who wants a salary cap?
The clear, although silent, message from the NFL is that the league and the teams are not only unafraid of an uncapped year in 2010, but may even embrace it as a way to recover from debt and get their expenses under control. This isn’t a message the union wants to hear.
Thus, we are in this bizarre labor negotiation in football that has the following backward-looking appearance:
The NFL appears to want to play 2010 without a salary cap; the NFLPA appears to want to play 2010 with a salary cap.
We’ll be following this closely. In the meantime, we’ll watch to see what – if any – deals get done today, the last cap deadline day for a year or two, or more.
Follow me on Twitter: adbrandt
Andrew,
Thanks for another fascinating article.
The possibility of the owners not wanting a cap agreement seems unimaginable to me. Would they really risk having a model similar to the one that ruined MLB?
Dan - Did MLB get ruined? How come you're the only one that knows about it? They just finished a pretty successful season.
Depends on what you consider ruined in MLB. If you consider the Yankee's huge payroll and the many teams that have payrolls under $70 million ruined; and if you consider that fewer than six teams can afford top-level free agents, then, yes, MLB is ruined.
If you like always seeing teams like LA (both leagues), New York & Boston at the top of their divisions and in the playoffs, then baseball is very successful. But the chances of teams like the Royals, Mariners, Blue Jays, A's and others staying in the hunt for very long are very slim under the present circumstances.
Dan-
Thanks for the kind words. Unlike 2006 when the owners were afraid of an uncapped system, there seems to be some acceptance now due to the fact that in addition to no ceiling on spending there is also no floor.
I don't think the issue is that the owners don't want a salary cap in the NFL in general, but that they wouldn't mind having 2010 go uncapped. The uncapped year was originally meant to motivate the owners to work quickly to reach a new cba. The alternative would be a situation in which salaries skyrocketed as more profitable teams sought to load up their rosters with high-caliber free agent talent.
There are several factors, however, that have created this ironic reversal of fortune. The first is that the owners were able to get certain provisions added to the uncapped year option that seriously limits the number of quality free agents in the market (extending unrestricted free agency eligibility from 4 years to 6 years), while at the same time increasing the ability of a team to hold on to additional free agents (increasing the number and type of franchise tags)...and at a reduced cost in some cases. I read an article on another site (not sure of the rules about mentioning other sites, so I won't), discussing the players that, as of now, would be unrestricted free agents if next year goes uncapped. It was not an impressive list. That list will likely increase as teams dump some over-sized contracts that are limiting their ability to make more roster moves. Even so, most of these players will be ones that have been underperforming relative to their current contracts, and I find it hard to believe that such players will encourage teams to start a bidding war over them.
Additionally, the overall economy has changed. With many areas of the country having experienced economic setbacks, teams located in those areas (almost everywhere) need to be wary of overspending, as they cannot be sure that their revenue will rise to match the increased cost. The economic issues have also made it both more difficult and less prosperous to sell naming rights to stadiums and generate other sponsorship deals. As such, some owners, such as Jerry Jones, who have a history of making big splashes in free agency are now finding that much of their money is tied up in other things...such as the Cowboys new stadium. Even Jerry Johnson isn't too likely to overreach this coming year. Dan Snyder has shown an interest to spend money in free agency, but he's only one guy, and based on his history, I don't think many people are worried that he's going to be able to "buy" a championship.
In the end, I think next year will go uncapped. I also believe that a number of owners will use it as a sort of reset button, ridding themselves of some really bad contracts. If the NFLPA really wants to prevent this from happening and get a deal done before next year, they're probably going to have to make some significant concessions. Other than that, I would expect next year to go uncapped, and for the real negotiations to begin then.
Very good article.
Thanks
| powered by TheSeats.com |
Thanks for the memories? Not when...
Four reasons for little to no...
Understanding the complicated...
Packers make popular moves re-signing...
QB’s Bayou charm and bluff got...
Nov 16, 2009
02:55 PM
I continue to believe the league has all the cards in the CBA negotiation. DeMaurice Smith will learn the lesson his predecessor learned, which is that his role is to sign whatever the league wants. Fans will turn out and support teams with replacement players. Fans do not have any real attachment to a team's players, since most will be gone in three or four years and every one of them would leave for a better deal somewhere else. A lockout would be disastrous for the players, since the average career is four years. The average player would be forfeiting 25% of his lifetime earnings. Ouch.